- Japan’s Role in a Changing World
- An Interview with Kobayashi Yōtarō, Former Chairman of Fuji Xerox
- [2014.08.06] Read in: 日本語 | 简体字 | 繁體字 |
The world is undergoing a major realignment now, as China rises and the relative influence of the United States wanes. How should Japan and its business community respond to the challenges of this new era? Kobayashi Yōtarō, former chairman of Fuji Xerox, offers his insights and advice.
Kobayashi YōtarōChairman of the International University of Japan (since 2003), and former chairman of Fuji Xerox. Born in London in 1933. Graduated from the Faculty of Economics of Keio University in 1956. Earned his MBA from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Finance and Commerce in 1958. Joined Fuji Xerox in 1963. Was appointed the company’s president and CEO in 1978. Starting in 1992, served as chairman and CEO. Was the chief corporate advisor to Fuji Xerox from 2006 until his retirement in 2009. Served as chairman of the Committee of Foreign-Affiliated Corporations of Keidanren from 1986 to 1988. Has been chairman of the Aspen Institute Japan since 1988, and was chairman of the Japan Association of Corporate Executives from 1999 to 2003.
A Changing Global Order
INTERVIEWER The leadership of the United States within the international community has declined, relatively speaking, while the ranks of the key countries that will determine the future direction of the world have expanded beyond the G8 to the G20, which includes newly industrialized countries. What are your thoughts on this global trend?
KOBAYASHI YŌTARŌ My impression from global events, including the recent move by Russia to incorporate Crimea into its territory, is that dark clouds are on the horizon with respect to the longstanding power of the United States. Meanwhile, China has been gaining strength for some time now. I had even thought at one point that we might be entering the era of the “G2”—with the United States and China as the two superpowers. But I ended up miscalculating because, to be frank, the Obama Administration has failed to live up to expectations, despite the idealistic slogans it raised when it took over from the Bush Administration.
The Americans themselves must have anticipated the relative decline of their nation’s power. But you wouldn’t know that fact from speeches President Barack Obama has given recently. He has not been up to the challenges and changes of the world today, perhaps due to a lack of personal leadership skills, and that seems to be why the country finds itself in its current situation.
Coupled with the decline of the United States, there has been the steady rise in power of China and Russia. They are able to create a fait accompli and then not back down. The heads of those two states, Xi Jingping and Vladimir Putin, have perceived the weaknesses of the United States. Knowing that the United States and European Union countries are not always on the same page with regard to the Ukraine and Crimea issue, President Putin has managed, as one scholar put it, to remain at least one or two moves ahead of President Obama—and that is my impression, too. It puts Japan in an awkward position.
Today Executives Face an Even Greater Challenge
INTERVIEWER For close to 50 years now you have served as an executive at one of the leading foreign-affiliated companies in Japan. What are your thoughts in looking back on the decades spent at Fuji-Xerox?
KOBAYASHI If you compare the situation today to that of the 1980s and 1990s, when my generation was entering the ranks of top management, you’ll find that things are quite different, such as the sorts of management tools that are used. Back in those days, an executive had to weigh each decision very carefully, examining every point before deciding to move ahead with an initiative. That was the procedure that executives had to follow. But these days, with all sorts of information available instantaneously, no one has the luxury to spend so much time pondering a situation. Looking back on the history of Fuji Xerox, which was formed as a joint venture between Fuji Photo Film and Xerox, you can see that in those early years of the company, in the 1960s and 1970s, there was a strong bond of trust between the executives from both companies and a healthy sense of pride on each side. Xerox, for its part, wanted to develop a hub in Japan as a launching point for the growing Asian market, while Fuji Photo Film was eager to acquire innovative new photography-related technologies.
One of the challenges Fuji Xerox sought to undertake at the time was to raise the level of its manufacturing craftsmanship, with an eye to making products in a cost-efficient and timely way. Fuji Xerox was created in 1962, one year before I joined the company, but already our focus was to become a preeminent, outward-looking manufacturer. But our unflashy emphasis on manufacturing craftsmanship also had limitations that were revealed around the time of the 1974 “oil shock”—to the point where the future of the company itself was called into question.
The other challenge for us was to learn from our counterparts at Xerox by studying what they were doing and listening to what they had to say. The new company Fuji Xerox gave us the freedom to do this. Since Fuji Xerox was staffed by people hired initially by separate organizations, there were a lot of hurdles to overcome. This meant that from the 1970s all the way to the time I stepped down as president in 1992, a major task for us was to forge our own distinctive corporate culture. We managed, in the end, to be a pioneer in such fields as IT and computerization, but I still regret those cases where we had the chance to boldly open up a new field but did not pull it off. Be that as it may, I would say that the situation facing executives today is much more difficult than in those early days.
Mutual Trust Emerged from Trade Friction
INTERVIEWER You have held a number of key international posts, such as serving as the chairman of the Japan Association of Corporate Executives, the Japanese chair at the Japan-US Business Council, and the Asia Pacific chairman of the Trilateral Commission. In the period from the 1970s to 1990s there was considerable economic friction between Japan and the United States. Even though it has subsided since then, my impression is that the personal relations and contacts between the two sides have atrophied somewhat.
KOBAYASHI One thing that is very clear is that, compared to their forerunners, the younger generation of executives are far more likely to hold MBAs, have overseas experience, and be able to speak foreign languages. So it is a bit puzzling that, despite those improvements, they are not in particularly close contact with their overseas counterparts in financial and business circles. It may seem somewhat ironic, but all of those noisy disputes in the past between Japan and the United States over specific issues in the automotive, film, insurance, and other industries ended up serving, in a certain sense, as a way of building bonds of trust between the two sides. Today, even though there are still areas where the two sides are trying to solve issues together, there is not the same sense of focus.
Many of the issues that Japan and the United States need to address collectively are related to China. During my stint as the Japanese chair at the Japan-US Business Council, I sometimes suggested that we set aside our respective economic issues for a moment to focus on Asia and the problems involving China, but my American counterparts were not very keen on that idea. I don’t know exactly what the atmosphere is like these days within the Business Council, but I do think it is safe to say that there is not as much eagerness as before on both sides to ponder our common issues and try to come up with solutions and chart a future direction.
In mid-April the Aspen Institute Japan is holding a three-day meeting on rebuilding US-Asian ties. The US participants include Professor Michael Green and government officials, but relatively few from business circles. On the Japanese side, Hasegawa Yasuchika, president of Takeda Pharmaceutical and current chairman of the Japan Association of Corporate Executives, will be in attendance, but in recent years the membership of the Japan-US Business Council seems to have undergone a change, in the sense that there are now fewer representatives from the business world. Apparently, there is an assumption that business leaders should only think in terms of microeconomics, and leave the macroeconomic topics to others. I think the business leaders have been influenced by the criticism of those who think there are few practical reasons or tangible benefits for an executive to attend a global conference.
Surprisingly Little Concern About Deficits
INTERVIEWER Japan has been a country dedicated to manufacturing and export industries, but recently China has surpassed it in terms of GDP, amidst our worsening current-account balance caused by a growing trade deficit. Could you share your thoughts on the current situation for Japanese corporations?
KOBAYASHI Now that a trade deficit has become the norm in Japan, some have been saying that there is no particular need to worry about it. This is, in other words, the view that things are fine as long as direct overseas investment is increasing steadily and there is a return on that investment. There is also the question of where the root cause of the trade deficit lies, but that is seen as a complex issue that is probably better to not worry about. At the International University of Japan [in Niigata Prefecture], where I serve as chairman, this topic has been dealt with in discussions addressing the strategic issue of what Japan’s focus should be in the future in terms of its export-oriented products and industries.
Up to now, exports have been an avenue where Japan displayed its strength, so it is necessary to become aware of the factors that have been draining that strength. Yet, despite that need, there has been a surprising lack of concern about Japan’s swelling trade deficit in macroeconomic terms.